This post was originally published on May 7th, 2007. It has been republished from a previous version of the site.
Just in case the Dow continues to run, I’ve gone and generated the targets it has left if it intends to keep setting records. Though this data is less useful than my analysis of the correlation between these percentages and subsequent return, it’s still important to get an idea what the market was doing the last time these records were set.
The following is a list from all the way from 10 sessions to 400 sessions. The table should be pretty self-explanatory. Most were in the mid 1950′s, followed by the early 1970′s.
Sessions | Up Sessions | Number of
Occasions |
Last Date |
10 | 10 | 20 | Nov 14, 1996 |
11 | 11 | 9 | Jan 2, 1992 |
12 | 12 | 4 | Jan 19, 1987 |
13 | 13 | 1 | Jan 19, 1987 |
14 | 13 | 28 | Apr 19, 2007 |
15 | 14 | 16 | Apr 19, 2007 |
16 | 15 | 7 | Apr 19, 2007 |
17 | 16 | 3 | Jul 5, 1929 |
18 | 17 | 2 | Jul 5, 1929 |
19 | 18 | 1 | Jul 5, 1929 |
20 | 18 | 4 | Apr 26, 2007 |
20 | 18 | 4 | Apr 26, 2007 |
21 | 19 | 1 | Apr 26, 2007 |
22 | 19 | 18 | May 4, 2007 |
23 | 20 | 11 | May 4, 2007 |
24 | 21 | 7 | May 4, 2007 |
25 | 22 | 4 | May 4, 2007 |
26 | 23 | 2 | May 4, 2007 |
27 | 24 | 1 | May 4, 2007 |
28 | 24 | 6 | May 4, 2007 |
29 | 25 | 2 | Jul 5, 1955 |
30 | 26 | 1 | Jul 5, 1955 |
31 | 26 | 7 | Jul 8, 1955 |
32 | 27 | 5 | Jul 8, 1955 |
33 | 28 | 3 | Jul 8, 1955 |
34 | 29 | 1 | Jul 5, 1955 |
35 | 29 | 5 | May 4, 2007 |
36 | 30 | 2 | Jul 8, 1955 |
37 | 31 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
38 | 31 | 3 | May 4, 2007 |
39 | 31 | 12 | May 4, 2007 |
40 | 32 | 7 | May 4, 2007 |
41 | 33 | 3 | May 4, 2007 |
42 | 34 | 1 | May 4, 2007 |
43 | 34 | 5 | May 4, 2007 |
44 | 35 | 3 | May 4, 2007 |
45 | 36 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
46 | 36 | 5 | Jul 27, 1955 |
47 | 37 | 3 | Jul 26, 1955 |
48 | 38 | 2 | Jul 26, 1955 |
49 | 39 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
50 | 39 | 2 | Jul 27, 1955 |
51 | 39 | 4 | Jul 28, 1955 |
52 | 40 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
53 | 40 | 5 | Jan 29, 1971 |
54 | 41 | 1 | Aug 2, 1955 |
55 | 41 | 5 | Feb 5, 1971 |
56 | 42 | 1 | Aug 4, 1955 |
57 | 42 | 16 | Feb 12, 1971 |
58 | 43 | 8 | Feb 12, 1971 |
59 | 44 | 4 | Feb 12, 1971 |
60 | 45 | 2 | Feb 12, 1971 |
61 | 45 | 11 | Feb 16, 1971 |
62 | 46 | 6 | Feb 12, 1971 |
63 | 47 | 3 | Feb 12, 1971 |
64 | 48 | 1 | Jan 29, 1971 |
65 | 48 | 4 | Feb 2, 1971 |
66 | 49 | 2 | Feb 2, 1971 |
67 | 49 | 7 | Feb 5, 1971 |
68 | 50 | 3 | Feb 5, 1971 |
69 | 51 | 1 | Feb 5, 1971 |
70 | 51 | 8 | Feb 12, 1971 |
71 | 52 | 5 | Feb 12, 1971 |
72 | 53 | 3 | Feb 12, 1971 |
73 | 54 | 2 | Feb 12, 1971 |
74 | 55 | 1 | Feb 12, 1971 |
75 | 55 | 3 | Feb 16, 1971 |
76 | 56 | 1 | Feb 12, 1971 |
77 | 56 | 3 | Feb 16, 1971 |
78 | 56 | 9 | Mar 8, 1971 |
79 | 57 | 2 | Feb 12, 1971 |
80 | 57 | 12 | Mar 15, 1971 |
81 | 58 | 4 | Feb 24, 1971 |
82 | 59 | 1 | Feb 12, 1971 |
83 | 59 | 7 | Mar 15, 1971 |
84 | 60 | 1 | Mar 1, 1971 |
85 | 60 | 12 | Mar 17, 1971 |
86 | 61 | 7 | Mar 8, 1971 |
87 | 62 | 3 | Mar 8, 1971 |
88 | 63 | 2 | Mar 8, 1971 |
89 | 64 | 1 | Mar 8, 1971 |
90 | 64 | 4 | Mar 10, 1971 |
91 | 65 | 2 | Mar 10, 1971 |
92 | 65 | 6 | Mar 15, 1971 |
93 | 66 | 3 | Mar 15, 1971 |
94 | 67 | 1 | Mar 15, 1971 |
95 | 67 | 4 | Mar 17, 1971 |
96 | 68 | 2 | Mar 17, 1971 |
97 | 68 | 5 | Mar 18, 1971 |
98 | 69 | 1 | Mar 17, 1971 |
99 | 69 | 4 | Mar 18, 1971 |
100 | 69 | 10 | Mar 19, 1971 |
101 | 70 | 4 | Mar 17, 1971 |
102 | 71 | 1 | Mar 15, 1971 |
103 | 71 | 6 | Apr 16, 1971 |
104 | 72 | 1 | Mar 17, 1971 |
105 | 72 | 10 | Apr 16, 1971 |
106 | 73 | 4 | Apr 16, 1971 |
107 | 74 | 1 | Sep 2, 1955 |
108 | 74 | 4 | Mar 17, 1971 |
109 | 75 | 1 | Sep 2, 1955 |
110 | 75 | 8 | Sep 6, 1955 |
111 | 76 | 3 | Sep 27, 1954 |
112 | 77 | 1 | Aug 3, 1954 |
113 | 77 | 9 | Apr 16, 1971 |
114 | 78 | 4 | Apr 16, 1971 |
115 | 79 | 3 | Apr 16, 1971 |
116 | 80 | 2 | Apr 16, 1971 |
117 | 81 | 1 | Apr 16, 1971 |
118 | 81 | 4 | Apr 19, 1971 |
119 | 82 | 1 | Apr 16, 1971 |
120 | 82 | 4 | Apr 19, 1971 |
121 | 83 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
122 | 83 | 5 | Apr 16, 1971 |
123 | 83 | 27 | Apr 27, 1971 |
124 | 84 | 12 | Apr 27, 1971 |
125 | 85 | 7 | Apr 16, 1971 |
126 | 86 | 4 | Sep 27, 1954 |
127 | 87 | 3 | Sep 27, 1954 |
128 | 88 | 2 | Sep 27, 1954 |
129 | 89 | 1 | Sep 27, 1954 |
130 | 89 | 2 | Sep 28, 1954 |
131 | 89 | 6 | Jul 26, 1955 |
132 | 90 | 2 | Jul 26, 1955 |
133 | 91 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
134 | 91 | 7 | Jul 27, 1955 |
135 | 92 | 3 | Oct 5, 1954 |
136 | 93 | 1 | Sep 27, 1954 |
137 | 93 | 2 | Sep 28, 1954 |
138 | 93 | 4 | Aug 2, 1955 |
139 | 93 | 16 | Dec 2, 1955 |
140 | 94 | 8 | Aug 4, 1955 |
141 | 95 | 4 | Oct 5, 1954 |
142 | 96 | 2 | Oct 5, 1954 |
143 | 96 | 7 | Oct 6, 1954 |
144 | 97 | 2 | Sep 27, 1954 |
145 | 98 | 1 | Sep 27, 1954 |
146 | 98 | 6 | Sep 28, 1954 |
147 | 99 | 4 | Sep 27, 1954 |
148 | 100 | 3 | Sep 27, 1954 |
149 | 101 | 2 | Sep 27, 1954 |
150 | 102 | 1 | Sep 27, 1954 |
151 | 102 | 2 | Sep 28, 1954 |
152 | 102 | 3 | Sep 29, 1954 |
153 | 102 | 9 | Oct 5, 1954 |
154 | 103 | 5 | Oct 5, 1954 |
155 | 104 | 3 | Oct 5, 1954 |
156 | 105 | 1 | Oct 5, 1954 |
157 | 105 | 2 | Oct 6, 1954 |
158 | 105 | 8 | Sep 2, 1955 |
159 | 106 | 3 | Sep 2, 1955 |
160 | 107 | 2 | Sep 2, 1955 |
161 | 108 | 1 | Sep 2, 1955 |
162 | 108 | 2 | Sep 6, 1955 |
163 | 108 | 3 | Sep 7, 1955 |
164 | 108 | 8 | Sep 13, 1955 |
165 | 109 | 3 | Sep 13, 1955 |
166 | 110 | 2 | Sep 13, 1955 |
167 | 111 | 1 | Sep 13, 1955 |
168 | 111 | 4 | Sep 16, 1955 |
169 | 112 | 2 | Sep 16, 1955 |
170 | 113 | 1 | Sep 16, 1955 |
171 | 113 | 5 | Sep 20, 1955 |
172 | 114 | 1 | Sep 20, 1955 |
173 | 114 | 5 | Sep 22, 1955 |
174 | 115 | 2 | Sep 22, 1955 |
175 | 115 | 9 | Sep 27, 1955 |
176 | 116 | 4 | Sep 27, 1955 |
177 | 117 | 2 | Sep 27, 1955 |
178 | 117 | 6 | Sep 28, 1955 |
179 | 117 | 20 | Mar 12, 1959 |
180 | 118 | 6 | Mar 12, 1959 |
181 | 119 | 3 | Jul 26, 1955 |
182 | 120 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
183 | 120 | 7 | Jul 27, 1955 |
184 | 121 | 4 | Jul 26, 1955 |
185 | 122 | 2 | Jul 26, 1955 |
186 | 123 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
187 | 123 | 2 | Jul 27, 1955 |
188 | 123 | 3 | Jul 28, 1955 |
189 | 123 | 16 | Mar 12, 1959 |
190 | 124 | 6 | Aug 2, 1955 |
191 | 125 | 3 | Aug 2, 1955 |
192 | 126 | 1 | Nov 26, 1954 |
193 | 126 | 4 | Aug 4, 1955 |
194 | 126 | 17 | Aug 11, 1955 |
195 | 127 | 7 | Jul 26, 1955 |
196 | 128 | 4 | Jul 26, 1955 |
197 | 129 | 2 | Dec 6, 1954 |
198 | 130 | 1 | Dec 6, 1954 |
199 | 130 | 2 | Dec 7, 1954 |
200 | 130 | 3 | Dec 8, 1954 |
201 | 130 | 10 | Sep 2, 1955 |
202 | 131 | 3 | Dec 31, 1954 |
203 | 132 | 1 | Dec 6, 1954 |
204 | 132 | 6 | Nov 7, 1955 |
205 | 133 | 2 | Nov 7, 1955 |
206 | 134 | 1 | Nov 7, 1955 |
207 | 134 | 12 | Nov 15, 1955 |
208 | 135 | 8 | Nov 15, 1955 |
209 | 136 | 5 | Nov 15, 1955 |
210 | 137 | 3 | Nov 15, 1955 |
211 | 138 | 1 | Nov 15, 1955 |
212 | 138 | 5 | Nov 16, 1955 |
213 | 139 | 2 | Sep 2, 1955 |
214 | 140 | 1 | Sep 2, 1955 |
215 | 140 | 2 | Sep 6, 1955 |
216 | 140 | 9 | Nov 23, 1955 |
217 | 141 | 1 | Nov 23, 1955 |
218 | 141 | 9 | Nov 29, 1955 |
219 | 142 | 5 | Nov 29, 1955 |
220 | 143 | 2 | Nov 29, 1955 |
221 | 143 | 9 | Dec 2, 1955 |
222 | 144 | 4 | Dec 2, 1955 |
223 | 145 | 2 | Dec 2, 1955 |
224 | 145 | 6 | Dec 5, 1955 |
225 | 146 | 1 | Sep 20, 1955 |
226 | 146 | 8 | Dec 7, 1955 |
227 | 147 | 3 | Sep 22, 1955 |
228 | 148 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
229 | 148 | 4 | Sep 27, 1955 |
230 | 149 | 1 | Sep 27, 1955 |
231 | 149 | 3 | Sep 28, 1955 |
232 | 149 | 10 | Sep 29, 1955 |
233 | 150 | 2 | Sep 16, 1955 |
234 | 150 | 13 | Nov 15, 1955 |
235 | 151 | 6 | Oct 4, 1955 |
236 | 152 | 2 | Jan 31, 1955 |
237 | 153 | 1 | Jan 31, 1955 |
238 | 153 | 3 | Mar 3, 1955 |
239 | 153 | 11 | Sep 27, 1955 |
240 | 154 | 3 | Sep 27, 1955 |
241 | 154 | 15 | Dec 29, 1955 |
242 | 155 | 4 | Jul 8, 1955 |
243 | 156 | 1 | Jul 5, 1955 |
244 | 156 | 9 | Jul 26, 1955 |
245 | 157 | 4 | Jul 8, 1955 |
246 | 158 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
247 | 158 | 3 | Jul 11, 1955 |
248 | 158 | 11 | Oct 21, 1955 |
249 | 159 | 4 | Jul 14, 1955 |
250 | 160 | 2 | Jul 14, 1955 |
251 | 160 | 18 | Nov 15, 1955 |
252 | 161 | 9 | Sep 2, 1955 |
253 | 162 | 6 | Sep 2, 1955 |
254 | 163 | 4 | Sep 2, 1955 |
255 | 164 | 2 | Sep 2, 1955 |
256 | 165 | 1 | Sep 2, 1955 |
257 | 165 | 4 | Sep 6, 1955 |
258 | 166 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
259 | 166 | 7 | Nov 15, 1955 |
260 | 167 | 1 | Nov 15, 1955 |
261 | 167 | 7 | Nov 16, 1955 |
262 | 168 | 4 | Nov 15, 1955 |
263 | 169 | 2 | Nov 15, 1955 |
264 | 170 | 1 | Nov 15, 1955 |
265 | 170 | 5 | Nov 16, 1955 |
266 | 170 | 20 | Nov 23, 1955 |
267 | 171 | 10 | Sep 20, 1955 |
268 | 172 | 6 | Jul 8, 1955 |
269 | 173 | 3 | Jul 5, 1955 |
270 | 174 | 2 | Jul 5, 1955 |
271 | 175 | 1 | Jul 5, 1955 |
272 | 175 | 4 | Jul 8, 1955 |
273 | 176 | 2 | Jul 8, 1955 |
274 | 177 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
275 | 177 | 2 | Jul 11, 1955 |
276 | 177 | 8 | Dec 2, 1955 |
277 | 178 | 3 | Jul 14, 1955 |
278 | 179 | 1 | Jul 14, 1955 |
279 | 179 | 6 | Jul 26, 1955 |
280 | 180 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
281 | 180 | 11 | Jul 27, 1955 |
282 | 181 | 6 | Jul 26, 1955 |
283 | 182 | 4 | Jul 26, 1955 |
284 | 183 | 3 | Jul 26, 1955 |
285 | 184 | 2 | Jul 26, 1955 |
286 | 185 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
287 | 185 | 2 | Jul 27, 1955 |
288 | 185 | 4 | Jul 28, 1955 |
289 | 186 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
290 | 186 | 5 | Aug 2, 1955 |
291 | 187 | 2 | Aug 2, 1955 |
292 | 187 | 8 | Aug 4, 1955 |
293 | 188 | 3 | Aug 4, 1955 |
294 | 189 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
295 | 189 | 5 | Jul 27, 1955 |
296 | 190 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
297 | 190 | 14 | Aug 11, 1955 |
298 | 191 | 8 | Aug 11, 1955 |
299 | 192 | 4 | Jul 5, 1955 |
300 | 193 | 2 | Jul 5, 1955 |
301 | 194 | 1 | Jul 5, 1955 |
302 | 194 | 7 | Jul 8, 1955 |
303 | 195 | 5 | Jul 8, 1955 |
304 | 196 | 3 | Jul 8, 1955 |
305 | 197 | 1 | Jul 5, 1955 |
306 | 197 | 5 | Jul 8, 1955 |
307 | 198 | 3 | Jul 8, 1955 |
308 | 199 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
309 | 199 | 5 | Jul 11, 1955 |
310 | 200 | 2 | Jul 8, 1955 |
311 | 200 | 7 | Jul 14, 1955 |
312 | 201 | 3 | Jul 14, 1955 |
313 | 202 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
314 | 202 | 13 | Sep 2, 1955 |
315 | 203 | 6 | Jul 26, 1955 |
316 | 204 | 3 | Jul 26, 1955 |
317 | 205 | 1 | Jun 24, 1955 |
318 | 205 | 11 | Jul 26, 1955 |
319 | 206 | 7 | Jul 26, 1955 |
320 | 207 | 5 | Jul 26, 1955 |
321 | 208 | 3 | Jul 5, 1955 |
322 | 209 | 2 | Jul 5, 1955 |
323 | 210 | 1 | Jul 5, 1955 |
324 | 210 | 4 | Jul 8, 1955 |
325 | 211 | 2 | Jul 8, 1955 |
326 | 212 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
327 | 212 | 2 | Jul 11, 1955 |
328 | 212 | 8 | Jul 14, 1955 |
329 | 213 | 4 | Jul 14, 1955 |
330 | 214 | 2 | Jul 14, 1955 |
331 | 214 | 6 | Jul 15, 1955 |
332 | 215 | 2 | Jul 8, 1955 |
333 | 216 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
334 | 216 | 7 | Jul 26, 1955 |
335 | 217 | 4 | Jul 26, 1955 |
336 | 218 | 3 | Jul 26, 1955 |
337 | 219 | 2 | Jul 26, 1955 |
338 | 220 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
339 | 220 | 2 | Jul 27, 1955 |
340 | 220 | 3 | Jul 28, 1955 |
341 | 220 | 16 | Aug 2, 1955 |
342 | 221 | 10 | Aug 2, 1955 |
343 | 222 | 6 | Aug 2, 1955 |
344 | 223 | 3 | Jul 26, 1955 |
345 | 224 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
346 | 224 | 4 | Jul 27, 1955 |
347 | 225 | 1 | Jul 8, 1955 |
348 | 225 | 2 | Jul 11, 1955 |
349 | 225 | 13 | Aug 11, 1955 |
350 | 226 | 6 | Aug 11, 1955 |
351 | 227 | 2 | Jul 26, 1955 |
352 | 227 | 8 | Aug 4, 1955 |
353 | 228 | 2 | Jul 26, 1955 |
354 | 229 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
355 | 229 | 6 | Jul 27, 1955 |
356 | 230 | 4 | Jul 26, 1955 |
357 | 231 | 3 | Jul 26, 1955 |
358 | 232 | 2 | Jul 26, 1955 |
359 | 233 | 1 | Jul 26, 1955 |
360 | 233 | 2 | Jul 27, 1955 |
361 | 233 | 3 | Jul 28, 1955 |
362 | 233 | 13 | Sep 2, 1955 |
363 | 234 | 8 | Sep 2, 1955 |
364 | 235 | 5 | Sep 2, 1955 |
365 | 236 | 2 | Sep 2, 1955 |
366 | 237 | 1 | Sep 2, 1955 |
367 | 237 | 2 | Sep 6, 1955 |
368 | 237 | 3 | Sep 7, 1955 |
369 | 237 | 15 | Sep 13, 1955 |
370 | 238 | 9 | Sep 13, 1955 |
371 | 239 | 6 | Sep 13, 1955 |
372 | 240 | 3 | Sep 13, 1955 |
373 | 241 | 1 | Sep 2, 1955 |
374 | 241 | 4 | Sep 16, 1955 |
375 | 242 | 1 | Sep 16, 1955 |
376 | 242 | 3 | Sep 20, 1955 |
377 | 243 | 1 | Sep 20, 1955 |
378 | 243 | 7 | Sep 22, 1955 |
379 | 244 | 3 | Sep 22, 1955 |
380 | 244 | 12 | Sep 27, 1955 |
381 | 245 | 6 | Sep 27, 1955 |
382 | 246 | 3 | Sep 27, 1955 |
383 | 246 | 11 | Sep 28, 1955 |
384 | 247 | 5 | Sep 20, 1955 |
385 | 248 | 3 | Sep 2, 1955 |
386 | 249 | 2 | Sep 2, 1955 |
387 | 250 | 1 | Sep 2, 1955 |
388 | 250 | 2 | Sep 6, 1955 |
389 | 250 | 4 | Sep 27, 1955 |
390 | 250 | 15 | Sep 28, 1955 |
391 | 251 | 6 | Sep 16, 1955 |
392 | 252 | 3 | Sep 13, 1955 |
393 | 253 | 1 | Sep 13, 1955 |
394 | 253 | 4 | Sep 16, 1955 |
395 | 254 | 2 | Sep 16, 1955 |
396 | 255 | 1 | Sep 16, 1955 |
397 | 255 | 3 | Sep 20, 1955 |
398 | 256 | 1 | Sep 20, 1955 |
399 | 256 | 3 | Sep 22, 1955 |
400 | 257 | 1 | Sep 22, 1955 |